Wednesday, November 24, 2004

Thanksgiving, Football and Betting Against the Spreads

Happy Thanksgiving!

Going to bang this one out fast, down with the flu for two days and still not quite w/it.

DISLCAIMER
I've been downing Niquil or Dayquil or Somequil since Monday night so if this is complete gibberish please have pity on me.

Honestly, these are two pretty lopsided games, and if they weren't Turkeyday games would warrant next to 0 attention. It's only because they are what all of us fans will be doing between bouts of sustained face stuffing that makes them worth a couple words.

The Indianapolis Colts (7-3) at The Detroit Lions (4-6)
Against the Spread: Colts 6-3-1 | Lions 5-5-0
Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
Opening NFL Betting Line: The Colts -7.5 53u -107
Current High NFL Betting Line: Colts -10 -110
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Colts -9.5 -110
Over/Under 53.5u to 54u -110

Colts offense blah blah blah... We all know it, they can gun away and the Edge showed a little of that stuff that made him so highly touted early in his career. It was against Chicago, so whatever. They still have no defense and they will be playing against something the resembles an offense in the Detroit Lions.

Detroit is coming off another hard loss, last week at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings. The Lions defense did a good job of holding their own for 3 quarters of play but let it slip out of there hands in the fourth. It didn't help much that Joey and the boys got nothing going in the entire second half.

Still, losing two heart breakers as underdogs and with the opportunity to win both, has got to sting.

Just the same, they are going to be up against the toughest offensive opponent in the NFL. So even though they should be able to score, keeping a healthy quick striking team like that of the Colts from getting ahead early and stretching that lead throughout the game is going to be a really tall order. But they might keep it close, so if you got it at -7.5, the Colts aren't too bad. At -9.5 to -10, it's a bit sketchy.

WR Az Hakim is Questionable and sat out practice. If the NFC wasn't so weak this year you might think they would sit him and not take any chances, but it is, so they might.

Very small wager, really just to make the game more fun to watch.

My Online Betting Action: Two Team Teaser Over 46.5 + The Colts -3.5.


The Chicago Bears (4-6) at The Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Against the Spread: Bears 5-5-0 | Cowboys 3-7-0
Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
Opening NFL Betting Line: The Cowboys -3.5 +102 Over/Under 36u -100
Current High NFL Betting Line: Cowboys -3.5 -110
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Cowboys -3 -110
Over/Under 36u -110

This one really takes the Blue Ribbon in the “Who Gives a Crap” contest.

Hopefully most of us will be so doped up on tryptophan by this point in the day that we will be snoring through a good portion of this game.

Frankly, a reason for even a ”fun” wager on this match-up is a hard one to find.

The Chicago Bears are hurting everywhere. They are Bottom Feeders offensively. Rookie QB Craig Krenzel is being mauled by every defense he faces, having been sacked 14 times in his last 3 outings. He has 5 INT's to go along with his 3 touchdowns and he has fumbled twice in each of the last 3. Yes folks, count 'em, that's 19 turnovers, by 1 player on the offense. The Bears biggest defensive asset, LB Brian Urlacher, is out for what amounts to be the rest of the season, having surgery this past Monday to relieve pressure in his calf in an injury sustained from being kicked last week. But hey, Bears fans, you guys are playing Dallas, so there's always that.

Ugh, Dallas... what the hell? They could very possibly be the worst looking football team in the NFL next to the Oakland Raiders. Seriously these guys can't get anything right. They make a hand-off to the running back look like a complicated play. That said, rookie QB Drew Henson looked decent after his mishap on his first snap as an NFL quarterback. He managed a late drive for a touchdown and ended his day 6 of 6 for 47 yards and a TD. He will be getting the nod to go, despite Parcells weak attempt at deceiving the press.

So we have a 4-6 team against a 3-7 team both with rookie QB's and not much else. Why this one isn't a pick is kind of baffling. Chicago has the slight edge on offense as their Kid has a few more games (and sacks) under his belt, and Dallas' defense is nothing more than a shadow of what it was last season.

The stats on this match-up are not even worth the waste of cyber-paper. Heck, if both teams could be lose they probably would.

If you have to do something with this game to make it worth watching between fits of snoring then the Over is probably your best shot. Neither of these teams can stop anything to speak of so a 23-17 final is not TOO hard to believe.

OR... another two teamer might not be a bad play. Chicago +9.5 & Over 30.

You know, that really isn't that bad. Then again it might be the flu medicine talking here...

Just for the sake of having a reason to watch this game.

My Online Betting Action: Two Team Teaser Over 30 + The Bears +9.5.
(again very small wager)