NFL Against the Spread – Picks of the Week Saturday – Part 4


Sunday Wild Card Late Game

The Minnesota Vikings (8-8) at The Green Bay Packers (10-6)
Against the Spread:  Vikings 7-9-0 | Packers 7-9-0
Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
Opening NFL Betting Lines: The Packers -6 -107 Over/Under 48.5u -111
Current High NFL Betting Line: Packers -7 +110
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Packers -6 -117
Over/Under 51.5u to 52.5u -108 to -120
Green Bay is Rocking and Rolling. The win last week proved how much this team (read Favre) wants this chance. Minnesota is our other 8-8 qualifier, and they back-doored their way in. St. Louis had to make the last two count. They did, which puts them a notch above the Vikings. Wager already on the Packers before the line climbs any higher.

The Vikings have shown time and again that they can't get the job done when the pressure is on. They dropped the last 2 of regular season, and beat Detroit because of a missed extra point after the Lions scored at the end of the game.

Minnesota is hurting at a couple of key positions, namely safety, with Corey Chavous out with a broken elbow. Having WR Kelly Campbell sidelined may not seem that big a deal, but he has been a good situational receiver and will be missed by Culpepper if he is unable to go.

The Packers have gotten hot, Favre is ready for a shot at the Super Bowl and knows that the first step on this road is to defeat Minnesota. There is also the fact that he is unsure of his future and it may be that he sees this as, potentially, his last opportunity. Who knows?

Green Bay has gotten the upper hand in the previous two meetings by a field goal, both games ending with identical 34-31 scores. The Packers need to get out in front quickly and prove that they are worthy of contention to the rest of the league. The margin of victory needs to be greater the a mere 3 points.

As for injuries, WR Robert Fergusons' status is unchanged, still listed as Doubtful, but the rest of the first team seems ready to play ball.

This game is just as much about next weeks game as it is about the victory today.

My Online Betting Action: The Packers -6

NFL Against the Spread – Picks of the Week Saturday – Part 3


Sunday Wild Card Early Game

The Denver Broncos (10-6) at The Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Against the Spread:  Broncos 6-7-3 | Colts 9-6-1
Game Time: 1:30 PM ET
Opening NFL Betting Lines: The Colts -10 -110 Over/Under 56.5u -106
Current High NFL Betting Line: Colts -11.5 +115
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Colts -10 -110 to -120
Over/Under 55.5u to 56u -106 to -125
So Denver came up big against the the Colts second team last week. Wonder what kind of success they will see against the Real Indianapolis Colts. -10 is the only reason that a wager hasn't been made yet.

After Looking and Looking at this game, then watching back to back upsets, it became readily apparent why they call this “Wild Card” weekend. Therefore this is going to be brief.

Although the Colts should not have a problem beating the Bronco's, wagering on that outcome, particularly -10 points, is not a Value Wager.

There are a few dings to the Colts offense, namely WR Brandon Stokely, that depending on the true severity, could limit this team a bit offensively.

The Bronco's beat Indianapolis but with virtually none of Indy's starters in the game. So you can scratch that one. You have to go back a little further to see how they have handled the last few games. Well the answer is, so-so. While they held Tennessee to 16 points they were firebombed by the very inept Raider O. They lost to the stout Chargers, but by a mere field goal. Two weeks later they get their hats handed to them Kansas City in a 45-17 loss.

Denver has been streaky all season so expecting a win is a stretch, and even getting 10, it still doesn't merit a wager. Fact of the matter is, you just don't know what Denver team will show up.

But because I'm a glutton for punishment (and caught both my MO wager on St. Louis and the 2 teamer):

My Online Betting Action: 2 Team Teaser The Colts -10(+6) The Under 56 (+6)