Sunday, January 09, 2005

NFL Against the Spread – Picks of the Week Saturday – Part 3


Sunday Wild Card Early Game

The Denver Broncos (10-6) at The Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Against the Spread:  Broncos 6-7-3 | Colts 9-6-1
Game Time: 1:30 PM ET
Opening NFL Betting Lines: The Colts -10 -110 Over/Under 56.5u -106
Current High NFL Betting Line: Colts -11.5 +115
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Colts -10 -110 to -120
Over/Under 55.5u to 56u -106 to -125
So Denver came up big against the the Colts second team last week. Wonder what kind of success they will see against the Real Indianapolis Colts. -10 is the only reason that a wager hasn't been made yet.

After Looking and Looking at this game, then watching back to back upsets, it became readily apparent why they call this “Wild Card” weekend. Therefore this is going to be brief.

Although the Colts should not have a problem beating the Bronco's, wagering on that outcome, particularly -10 points, is not a Value Wager.

There are a few dings to the Colts offense, namely WR Brandon Stokely, that depending on the true severity, could limit this team a bit offensively.

The Bronco's beat Indianapolis but with virtually none of Indy's starters in the game. So you can scratch that one. You have to go back a little further to see how they have handled the last few games. Well the answer is, so-so. While they held Tennessee to 16 points they were firebombed by the very inept Raider O. They lost to the stout Chargers, but by a mere field goal. Two weeks later they get their hats handed to them Kansas City in a 45-17 loss.

Denver has been streaky all season so expecting a win is a stretch, and even getting 10, it still doesn't merit a wager. Fact of the matter is, you just don't know what Denver team will show up.

But because I'm a glutton for punishment (and caught both my MO wager on St. Louis and the 2 teamer):

My Online Betting Action: 2 Team Teaser The Colts -10(+6) The Under 56 (+6)

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