Sunday, November 28, 2004

NFL Against the Spread Online Betting Monday Night Football

The St. Louis Rams (5-5) at The Green Bay Packers (6-4)
Against the Spread: Rams 3-6-1 | Packers 4-6-0
Game Time: Monday 9:00 PM ET ABC Monday Night Football
Opening NFL Betting Line: OTB
Current High NFL Betting Line: Packers -7 -110
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Packers -6 -110
Over/Under 51u to 51.5u -110

St. Louis had a good first half against the Buffalo defense, but that was it. QB Marc Bulger ended the day 27 of 45 and got picked 3 times. Mighty Martz and his receivers resorted to name calling and accusing the backs of trying to “hurt” them. This is football, right? RB Marshall Faulk was held to 6 yards and because they were playing from behind most of the game, only carried a handful of times. WR Isaac Bruce was well contained getting only a few catches for about 60 yards. Although his brother in arms, Tory Holt fared better (90yds and a td) he was hurt late in the game and is listed as questionable for Monday night.

All the same, the Rams can be very explosive on offense and the defense of Green Bay is tenuous at best, particularly in the secondary. Faulk should bounce back just fine, and have better than single digit numbers. The injury to Holt doesn't take this team out of contention with ample talent in Bruce as well as Dane Looker. Moving the ball down field is probably not going to be a big issue. Stopping their opponent might be.

The Packers are on a roll and QB Brett Favre knows they have to stay on it. With the Vikings going to 7-4, Green Bay, much like San Diego in the West, has to have a win just to keep up in the NFC North. With wide receivers like Javon Walker, Donald Driver and in the clutch, Robert Ferguson, to throw to it wouldn't seem like an overwhelming task. Particularly against one of the weaker pass defenders like that of the Rams. The problem here is that with backs Ahman Green and Najeh Davenport as huge questions, is Tony Fisher going to be enough threat? Even though St. Louis has one of the worst rushing D's in the league, Green Bay has to proffer up some semblance of a real ground game to allow Favre to put in motion the play-action. The Packers also have to stop the Rams at least once during the game.

Green Bay's better overall defensively but have been scored on readily by strong passing offenses. The Vikings hit them for 34 points without Moss a couple weeks ago and the Colts jammed 45 down their throat when they met early in the season. For that matter Tennessee's mediocre passing game looked great against them. Cornerback Ahmad Carroll has been improving and his wing man, Al Harris, has started to be a bother to wideouts. A couple of things that may help this situation will be the possible return to full duty of safety Darren Sharper and corner Michael Hawthorne. Sharper has seen a little action over the past two games in the dime package, but hasn't started since week 7. Hawthorne hasn't started since week 5 so having him back in the rotation and relatively healthy, should boost the secondaries confidence.

There's also a little added incentive for the Packers, they got embarrassed in their last MNF game.

My Online Betting Action: The Packers -6
NFL Against the Spread Online Betting ESPN Sunday Night Football

The Oakland Raiders (3-7) at The Denver Broncos (7-3)
Against the Spread: Rams 3-6-1 | Packers 4-6-0
Game Time: 8:30 PM ET ESPN Sunday Night Football
Opening NFL Betting Line: The Broncos -10.5 -108 Over/Under 45.5u +109
Current High NFL Betting Line: Broncos -11.5 -110
Current Low NFL Betting Line: Broncos -13 -105
Over/Under 42.5u to 43u -110

Tonight’s game is out of bounds this week.

The Broncos are pretty solid for the win but covering an 11.5 to 12 point spread is a whole other matter. QB Jake Plummer just has not been consistent enough for faith that he can lead Denver to a 14 point victory, even against the dismal defense of the Oakland Raiders.

By the same token, expecting Oakland to keep the game within shouting distance is not much better an option. With no running game to speak of and with RB Tyrone Wheatley a big question mark to even get carries, the scoring pretty much lies in the hands of an even less proven commodity, QB Kerry Collins. He is as likely to throw interceptions as touchdowns.

An argument could be made that the Over at 42.5 isn’t a complete waste of money.

My Online Betting Action: None


Still waiting to decide on Monday Night’s game to see what the RB status is with Ahman Green and Najeh Davenport both questionable.

This is for having the post up so late, site was having trouble and I couldn't get logged in:

Anna
Anna ponders the outcome of MNF